a. Updated Performance

Overall:

Year-to-date:

b. Changes

I boosted my stake in Axon this morning by 22%. I continue to be very impressed with the company and was pleased with everything I heard in my recent chat with their team. I also continue to be patient on accumulation due to the multiple remaining deservedly stretched. I've been waiting for the ~$400 level to add again (35x EBITDA; 1.25x growth multiple), and it's close enough to do so.

I think the company has earned a premium multiple through elite performance and multi-year visibility. I am comfortable accumulating more shares here in a way that leaves more room to keep averaging in if this name keeps getting cheaper.

For more information on why I am so bullish on this investment case, please refer to my most recent earnings review here, or my deep dive here.

As a reminder, if you can read this article, you have access to the Discord room with no additional charge. It's part of your subscription and you can sign up here. That's where I share news the fastest, offer notes from sell-side analysts, field your questions and offer frequent mindset posts about my take on market conditions. That's where I provide you the most value. Go sign up (and mute whatever part of the conversation you don't care about).

c. Portfolio Management Strategy

*the order of the names in these lists below is meaningless.

My holdings that are performing & compellingly priced where I'd accumulate into modest multiple contraction:

  • Amazon

  • Meta

  • Mercado Libre

  • Zscaler

  • On

  • ServiceNow

  • Nu

  • Coupang

  • Axon

  • Rubrik

  • Lemonade

  • Uber

My holdings that are performing & expensive where I'd accumulate into meaningful multiple contraction:

  • Cava

  • Alphabet

  • Shopify

I don't consider SoFi expensive (it's cheap in my view), but I am accumulating shares in this company more slowly than I normally would due to the various cracks forming across private credit.

Watch List:

  • Starbucks

  • CrowdStrike

  • Sea Limited

  • Netflix

  • The Trade Desk

  • Snowflake

  • MongoDB

"If you were starting a portfolio today, what would it look like?"

  • 10% Amazon

  • 9% Meta

  • 8% Mercado Libre

  • 7% Alphabet

  • 7% Zscaler

  • 7% ServiceNow

  • 6% Lemonade

  • 6% Coupang

  • 5% SoFi

  • 5% Nu

  • 5% Rubrik

  • 4% On

  • 5% Uber

  • 4% Cava

  • 4% Axon

  • 3% Shopify

  • 4% cash

d. Holdings

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