Photo by Lucrezia Carnelos / Unsplash
a. Updated Performance
Overall:


Year-to-date:

b. Changes
I boosted my stake in Axon this morning by 22%. I continue to be very impressed with the company and was pleased with everything I heard in my recent chat with their team. I also continue to be patient on accumulation due to the multiple remaining deservedly stretched. I've been waiting for the ~$400 level to add again (35x EBITDA; 1.25x growth multiple), and it's close enough to do so.
I think the company has earned a premium multiple through elite performance and multi-year visibility. I am comfortable accumulating more shares here in a way that leaves more room to keep averaging in if this name keeps getting cheaper.
For more information on why I am so bullish on this investment case, please refer to my most recent earnings review here, or my deep dive here.
As a reminder, if you can read this article, you have access to the Discord room with no additional charge. It's part of your subscription and you can sign up here. That's where I share news the fastest, offer notes from sell-side analysts, field your questions and offer frequent mindset posts about my take on market conditions. That's where I provide you the most value. Go sign up (and mute whatever part of the conversation you don't care about).
c. Portfolio Management Strategy
*the order of the names in these lists below is meaningless.
My holdings that are performing & compellingly priced where I'd accumulate into modest multiple contraction:
Amazon
Meta
Mercado Libre
Zscaler
On
ServiceNow
Nu
Coupang
Axon
Rubrik
Lemonade
Uber
My holdings that are performing & expensive where I'd accumulate into meaningful multiple contraction:
Cava
Alphabet
Shopify
I don't consider SoFi expensive (it's cheap in my view), but I am accumulating shares in this company more slowly than I normally would due to the various cracks forming across private credit.
Watch List:
Starbucks
CrowdStrike
Sea Limited
Netflix
The Trade Desk
Snowflake
MongoDB
"If you were starting a portfolio today, what would it look like?"
10% Amazon
9% Meta
8% Mercado Libre
7% Alphabet
7% Zscaler
7% ServiceNow
6% Lemonade
6% Coupang
5% SoFi
5% Nu
5% Rubrik
4% On
5% Uber
4% Cava
4% Axon
3% Shopify
4% cash
d. Holdings

